54 replies to this topic

[Deb aka Resume Lady]

I don't think Monday will be a good day to go.

One, the roads will be bad.

two, the skiing will likely be miserable, if the slopes are even open.

Three, they're 17 and you gotta know they'll be yukking it up and not be on heightened alert. Sounds like a bad, bad idea to me.

[rpo]

The current snow level forecast has the following:

Sun 4 AM - 6500 ft
Sun 10 AM - 6900 ft
Sun 4 PM - 6100 ft
Sun 10 PM - 5300 ft

Mon 4 AM - 5700 ft
Mon 10 AM - 6000 ft
Mon 4 PM - 5200 ft
Mon 10 PM - 4500 ft

Tues 4 AM - 4800 ft
Tues 10 AM - 4800 ft
Tues 4 PM - 4300 ft
Tues 10 PM - 4300 ft

Wed 4 AM - 4000 ft
Wed 10 AM - 4000 ft
Wed 4 PM - 3800 ft
Wed 10 PM - 3800 ft

Thu 4 AM - 3800 ft
Thu 10 AM - 3800 ft
Thu 4 PM - 3500 ft
Thu 10 PM - 3500 ft

Fri 4 AM - 3100 ft
Fri 10 AM - 3100 ft
Fri 4 PM - 3000 ft
Fri 10 PM - 3000 ft

Sat 4 AM - 3900
Sat 10 AM - 4000

With the size of the storms forecast for Wed-Fri, 80 and 50 will be a disaster with snow levels that low.

[FolsomVW]

Weather trends tend to loosely follow a 10-12 year pattern. The last time we had weeks of rain and significant flooding was '97. So it's about time! This should be the beginning of a couple of really good rain and snow years. Too bad we'll forget and be surprised during the drought years of the late 20-teens.

There was an atmospheric river system that year. The Pineapple Express melted the snow and reeked disaster. Thankfully this one is nice in cold. Great for snowboarding; but maybe bad for avalanches if 10-15 feet of heavy snow falls on California cement.

[camay2327]

My wife and I went up to the lake today and it is the lowest it has been in the last 10 years, since we moved up here.

We can use a couple of weeks of rain. Let it come.

[WrongSideoftheBridge]

I got my rain and wind gauge up just in time! 4/10ths of an inch so far today. The guys on the weather forums are really hyped up about this next week. I've been surprised the news, while talking about the upcoming week haven't been more emphatic that people with flood potential need to be spending this 3 day weekend shoring up as the NWS has been warning for 3 days now that dangerous flood conditions could exist my mid/late week. The models have consistently shown for 3 days now, potential for very high winds as well by mid-week with record low barometric pressure readings in both Napa and SF. If this pans out, as the models are in high agreement, we are lucky this will be a colder event than '97 or Folsom Lake would fill by mid next week! For those who haven't lived here very long, it is absolutely amazing how much water can come out of the Sierra during a major El Nino event. The New Years storm of '97, I personally would not like to see repeated!

[Bill Z]

I got my rain and wind gauge up just in time! 4/10ths of an inch so far today. The guys on the weather forums are really hyped up about this next week. I've been surprised the news, while talking about the upcoming week haven't been more emphatic that people with flood potential need to be spending this 3 day weekend shoring up as the NWS has been warning for 3 days now that dangerous flood conditions could exist my mid/late week. The models have consistently shown for 3 days now, potential for very high winds as well by mid-week with record low barometric pressure readings in both Napa and SF. If this pans out, as the models are in high agreement, we are lucky this will be a colder event than '97 or Folsom Lake would fill by mid next week! For those who haven't lived here very long, it is absolutely amazing how much water can come out of the Sierra during a major El Nino event. The New Years storm of '97, I personally would not like to see repeated!

I think it was in 86 when the water rose to not much below rainbow bridge.

[Bill Z]

Has anyone local started building an ARK?

[john]

look at the front page, we have doppler radar on - incoming!!!

[Bill Z]

look at the front page, we have doppler radar on - incoming!!!

here's a link for the "website negotiating challenged" like me (took me 2 or 3 clicks to find it)

http://www.myfolsom.com/index.shtml

[john]

Bill, you click on the logo in the upper left...

[Bill Z]

Bill, you click on the logo in the upper left...

Thanks, didn't know that was a hyperlink.

I first tried "Folsom General", that didn't get me anywhere.

Then I tried "News & More", which did get me some where and that's where I saw

Current News (Front Page)

with current news being a link to the Front Page.

[4thgenFolsomite]

I remember the 1986 event as well. That was a whopper. They stopped traffic driving over Rainbow Bridge because of the river had swollen up to the Negro Bar parking lot area. And there were no other bridges then (you had to drive over the dam or drive down to Hazel). The bridge was actually shuddering, you could feel it when you walked on it. There were standing rapids in the middle of the river and you could hear the roar up on Sutter Street. It also washed out a lot of trees below the Powerhouse. At one point, they got ready to blow up the Mormon Island wing dam to relieve pressure on the concrete Folsom Dam because the coffer dam at Auburn had given way and released so much water in to the lake they weren't sure they could contain it and the water flowing in through the three forks of the American River. Nimbus Dam was open full bore with water shooting way out in the air. The bike trails along the bluffs near Negro Bar along Lake Natoma also washed away, having been covered up with fast moving water.

It was very impressive. I took a lot of photographs. In fact, I recently saw a photo of those standing waves below the Rainbow Bridge.

[folsom500]

Storms so far have been pretty Wimpy - were is the MAJOR in all of this ?

[john]

hey if you could send those pics I would appreciate it!

Sac State is in an emergency flood zone - In '86 they were 30 minutes away from blowing the gates on a levee that would have flooded the school but saved the levees. I'm not sure where exactly it was but I am told it went up to the train tracks somewhere.

[john]

Storms so far have been pretty Wimpy - were is the MAJOR in all of this ?

I agree - the red cells look like they went north and south of us. Lots of snow though, and lots in the Oroville area (Lake Oroville needs it more than us), which is good.