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Folsom Home Listing Prices Falling Fast


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#1 Steve Heard

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Posted 04 September 2014 - 03:35 PM

With the kids back in school and the investor feeding frenzy over, homeowners throughout the region are seeing their homes staying on the market longer, and with inventory increasing, listing prices are starting to fall.

 

Of 201 Folsom homes for sale in  August, 112 had price decreases, and El Dorado Hills has seen price drops on 50 of their 253 listings in the last 2 weeks alone.

 

Don't hit the panic button just yet, though.  Final numbers aren't in, but it looks like sales are still relatively strong. There were 100 reported closed sales in Folsom last month, at an average price per square foot of $219, the highest in years, there are 94 currently pending sale.

 

Today's buyers have a lot of choices though, and they are taking their time and being conservative with their offers.

 

This does't mean that sellers are going to take low-ball offers, but rather that they have to pay attention to market trends, price accordingly, and be prepared to lower prices if the market doesn't respond.

 

Once the right list price is found, sellers are rewarded with good offers.  Folsom homes sold in August averaged 99.35% of the price listed at time of offer.

 

Sellers are becoming more creative to close the sale, and buyers a bit bolder in their requests.  Eric

 

McKay, Norther California Area Manager for Essex mortgage reports that he's seeing buyers negotiating credit for closing costs of between 2 and 3% of the purchase price.  In some markets, like Folsom, that can mean a credit for over $10,000.

 

We've also seen an increase in requests for inspections and repairs.

 

Time will tell if this is just the normal fall slow down, a correction or a trend, but for now, the advice is if you don't have to sell, don't. This isn't a time to test the market, and your home will just add to the inventory.

 

If you are motivated to sell, realize that you've got to be realistic in your pricing, and realistic can change from week to week.

 

What do you think? Got a prediction?


Steve Heard

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#2 4thgenFolsomite

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Posted 05 September 2014 - 05:53 AM

My dad was a broker from the early 1960s through the 1990s and always saw the school year fluctuations. I think it's compounded now by increased inventory from people who decided to sell when they saw the prices going up. There are more houses for sale in my neighborhood at much higher prices than I've ever seen before, so I think a lot of potential sellers had a little too high of hopes.

Steve, you are so good informing us! Its always interesting to hear what is going on. Thank you!
Knowing the past helps deciphering the future.

#3 WolfMom

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Posted 05 September 2014 - 07:19 AM

Steve is a very valuable resource! Thank you for the updates! You save me from a lot of research.


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#4 rip

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Posted 05 September 2014 - 10:02 AM

Great information as usual Steve.  I think we are about to have a modest correction in the market.  Inventory is higher than it has been in years, and demand is flat.  Assuming the rules of supply and demand still apply, I'd expect to see prices head lower.  The question is how much?  I don't believe there is any chance we will see another collapse like we did after the last bubble.  The funny money that fueled that bubble just isn't available this time around.  That said, I do think we have experienced a mini bubble over the last two years, fueled by ultra low interest rates and investor activity. Now that the investors have, for the most part, left the market and interest rates are modestly higher the market will need to stand on it's own.  Just as we over shot on the low end at the end of the bubble, I think we have over shot on the recovery as well.  I'm going to go out on a limb and call for a 10% correction in the local market.  This would be highly dependent on interest rates.  If rates stay low or go lower the correction will be less.  If they rise the correction will be larger.  

 

Of course I could be full of it.   :)



#5 Steve Heard

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Posted 05 September 2014 - 04:56 PM

 

 

Of course I could be full of it.   :)

 

No more so than the rest of us.

 

By the way, I have 2 listings that aren't getting much love. Both approximately 3000 sq ft, with great back yards with pools. One is at $499K (down from $519K), and the other $559K (down from $599K). One has been on the market over a month. The other, 2 months. No offers. Few showings.

 

Today, I listed a house in Daly City, at 1215pm for $529K. 30 minutes later I got a call from someone wanting to put in a cash offer. She knows the models, and is going to meet me there tomorrow to confirm.


Steve Heard

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Owner - MyFolsom.com

916 718 9577 


#6 rip

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Posted 06 September 2014 - 06:53 AM

Neither of those things surprise me.  I watch the local market closely, and it seems to me properties priced over $450k are moving very slowly.  I have two coworkers that have houses on the market right now in the $500k range and neither are getting much traffic and certainly no offers.  Another coworker listed their Empire Ranch house at $450k and it sold in less than a week.  I'd say things are VERY price sensitive right now.

 

The Bay Area markets might as well be on a different planet.  Read recently the median price in San Francisco was nearing $1 million and bidding wars are still common.  It will be interesting to see what happens there when the current tech boom runs out of steam.  



#7 supermom

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Posted 06 September 2014 - 01:29 PM

i doubt the tech boom will run out of steam in the bay area. Not with the major brain drain from India, japan, etc that has spilled into California.  The Bay Area has gotten smart. They hire cheap on contracts from overseas and and keep innovative fresh ideas pouring into their subsidiary companies. When the company loses steam they roll it into a conglorerate, and shake it up and Google-Intel-erize it into a "private" company that goes public a few months later and sells back into the mother company- with more Visa fresh meat.






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